Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 0.372114 0.420972 0.475485 0.541124 0.618417 0.707034 0.817029
2024-10-27 0.293111 0.356285 0.433479 0.535994 0.670464 0.843559 1.087759
2024-11-03 0.258275 0.330544 0.424906 0.559836 0.752401 1.024738 1.453173
2024-11-10 0.229923 0.306002 0.410536 0.568988 0.811137 1.181683 1.822629
2024-11-17 0.204038 0.280000 0.388666 0.561321 0.840507 1.297245 2.155798
2024-11-24 0.182257 0.256515 0.366373 0.548013 0.856396 1.391545 2.476518
2024-12-01 0.167723 0.241701 0.354656 0.548657 0.893993 1.529378 2.920994
2024-12-08 0.158415 0.233585 0.351964 0.563104 0.957353 1.727875 3.559810
2024-12-15 0.148251 0.222918 0.343667 0.566230 0.999754 1.894501 4.190452
2024-12-22 0.136562 0.208595 0.327608 0.552936 1.007486 1.989746 4.682358
2024-12-29 0.130719 0.203310 0.326253 0.566437 1.071474 2.225046 5.657070
2025-01-05 0.124046 0.195970 0.320435 0.570394 1.115792 2.425931 6.634136
2025-01-12 0.115865 0.185522 0.308331 0.560973 1.130546 2.562153 7.497688
2025-01-19 0.108923 0.176720 0.298463 0.554974 1.152589 2.725834 8.567696
2025-01-26 0.106472 0.175704 0.303014 0.579792 1.253388 3.141307 10.918615
2025-02-02 0.102401 0.171364 0.300699 0.589341 1.318292 3.475253 13.228654
2025-02-09 0.096785 0.163709 0.291130 0.581330 1.335806 3.667066 15.048927
2025-02-16 0.091064 0.155445 0.279622 0.567432 1.334856 3.798626 16.694617
2025-02-23 0.087257 0.150568 0.274579 0.568105 1.375106 4.090732 19.613345
2025-03-02 0.085069 0.148658 0.275480 0.583193 1.460716 4.587608 24.560173
2025-03-09 0.081979 0.144745 0.271795 0.586458 1.511747 4.974094 29.378996
2025-03-16 0.077685 0.138152 0.261824 0.572573 1.506445 5.126149 32.576434
2025-03-23 0.075935 0.136572 0.262624 0.586674 1.595005 5.733584 41.232305